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01 Oct · 18:10 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
DWDariusz Wrobel
🇵🇱Dariusz Wrobel
ELO 1347
2-3Final setsRolak won
JRJaroslaw Rolak
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Rolak
ELO 1326
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Rolak at 50%. The actual result was Jaroslaw Rolak 2-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Dariusz Wrobel favoured — closing 1.7
Upset
Total 75.5
106 points played
Over
Set handicap
Dariusz Wrobel −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Dariusz Wrobel −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Dariusz Wrobel is favoured to win, below means Jaroslaw Rolak.

▲ Dariusz Wrobelpre 46% → final 11%
Jaroslaw Rolak ▼
Biggest swing 68 ptsRolak recovered from 21%72 points · 5 games