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01 Oct · 19:40 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MKMarcin Kowalczyk
🇵🇱Marcin Kowalczyk
ELO 1344
0-3Final setsWrobel won
DWDariusz Wrobel
🇵🇱Dariusz Wrobel
ELO 1347
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kowalczyk at 52%. The actual result was Dariusz Wrobel 0-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Dariusz Wrobel favoured — closing 1.75
Favourite won
Total 74.5
51 points played
Under
Set handicap
Dariusz Wrobel −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Dariusz Wrobel −1.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Marcin Kowalczyk is favoured to win, below means Dariusz Wrobel.

▲ Marcin Kowalczykpre 56% → final 1%
Dariusz Wrobel ▼
Biggest swing 62 ptsWrobel recovered from 37%50 points · 3 games