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01 Oct · 20:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MKMariusz Koczyba
🇵🇱Mariusz Koczyba
ELO 1524
3-2Final setsKoczyba won
GJGrzegorz Jurowicz
🇵🇱Grzegorz Jurowicz
ELO 1409
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Koczyba at 61%. The actual result was Mariusz Koczyba 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mariusz Koczyba favoured — closing 1.47
Favourite won
Total 73.5
101 points played
Over
Set handicap
Mariusz Koczyba −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Mariusz Koczyba −5.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.7
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mariusz Koczyba is favoured to win, below means Grzegorz Jurowicz.

▲ Mariusz Koczybapre 58% → final 79%
Grzegorz Jurowicz ▼
Biggest swing 86 ptsKoczyba recovered from 6%72 points · 5 games