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01 Oct · 22:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MTMarek Tkocz
🇵🇱Marek Tkocz
ELO 1579
3-1Final setsTkocz won
KAKacper Adamus
🇵🇱Kacper Adamus
ELO 1542
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Tkocz at 53%. The actual result was Marek Tkocz 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Marek Tkocz favoured — closing 1.75
Favourite won
Total 74.5
76 points played
Over
Set handicap
Marek Tkocz −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Marek Tkocz −1.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.7
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Marek Tkocz is favoured to win, below means Kacper Adamus.

▲ Marek Tkoczpre 57% → final 100%
Kacper Adamus ▼
Biggest swing 68 ptsTkocz recovered from 32%64 points · 4 games