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01 Oct · 22:25 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MGMichal Guzik
🇵🇱Michal Guzik
ELO 1675
3-1Final setsGuzik won
GJGrzegorz Jurowicz
🇵🇱Grzegorz Jurowicz
ELO 1426
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Guzik at 80%. The actual result was Michal Guzik 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Grzegorz Jurowicz favoured — closing 1.85
Upset
Total 72.5
76 points played
Over
Set handicap
Grzegorz Jurowicz −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Grzegorz Jurowicz −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.6
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Guzik is favoured to win, below means Grzegorz Jurowicz.

▲ Michal Guzikpre 84% → final 89%
Grzegorz Jurowicz ▼
Biggest swing 20 pts72 points · 4 games