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01 Oct · 23:35 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
GJGrzegorz Jurowicz
🇵🇱Grzegorz Jurowicz
ELO 1426
3-2Final setsJurowicz won
MLMarian Lebek
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1578
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Lebek at 67%. The actual result was Grzegorz Jurowicz 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Marian Lebek favoured — closing 1.35
Upset
Total 71.5
92 points played
Over
Set handicap
Marian Lebek −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Marian Lebek −7.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
7
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Grzegorz Jurowicz is favoured to win, below means Marian Lebek.

▲ Grzegorz Jurowiczpre 28% → final 73%
Marian Lebek ▼
Biggest swing 90 ptsJurowicz recovered from 7%72 points · 5 games