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02 Oct · 00:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MGMichal Guzik
🇵🇱Michal Guzik
ELO 1675
1-3Final setsTkocz won
MTMarek Tkocz
🇵🇱Marek Tkocz
ELO 1577
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Guzik at 63%. The actual result was Marek Tkocz 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Michal Guzik favoured — closing 1.75
Upset
Total 73.5
69 points played
Under
Set handicap
Michal Guzik −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Michal Guzik −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Guzik is favoured to win, below means Marek Tkocz.

▲ Michal Guzikpre 67% → final 3%
Marek Tkocz ▼
Biggest swing 65 ptsTkocz recovered from 32%68 points · 4 games