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02 Oct · 00:45 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
GJGrzegorz Jurowicz
🇵🇱Grzegorz Jurowicz
ELO 1426
3-2Final setsJurowicz won
MTMarek Tkocz
🇵🇱Marek Tkocz
ELO 1577
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Tkocz at 70%. The actual result was Grzegorz Jurowicz 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Marek Tkocz favoured — closing 1.35
Upset
Total 72.5
87 points played
Over
Set handicap
Marek Tkocz −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Marek Tkocz −6.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
6.75
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Grzegorz Jurowicz is favoured to win, below means Marek Tkocz.

▲ Grzegorz Jurowiczpre 32% → final 96%
Marek Tkocz ▼
Biggest swing 67 ptsJurowicz recovered from 29%72 points · 5 games