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02 Oct · 02:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
GJGrzegorz Jurowicz
🇵🇱Grzegorz Jurowicz
ELO 1426
3-2Final setsJurowicz won
KAKacper Adamus
🇵🇱Kacper Adamus
ELO 1511
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Adamus at 61%. The actual result was Grzegorz Jurowicz 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Kacper Adamus favoured — closing 1.37
Upset
Total 74.5
95 points played
Over
Set handicap
Kacper Adamus −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Kacper Adamus −6.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
6.25
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Grzegorz Jurowicz is favoured to win, below means Kacper Adamus.

▲ Grzegorz Jurowiczpre 42% → final 47%
Kacper Adamus ▼
Biggest swing 70 ptsAdamus recovered from 12%72 points · 5 games