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02 Oct · 02:20 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
JMJerzy Michalik
🇵🇱Jerzy Michalik
ELO 1468
3-1Final setsMichalik won
AZArtur Zmijewski
🇵🇱Artur Zmijewski
ELO 1588
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Zmijewski at 65%. The actual result was Jerzy Michalik 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Artur Zmijewski favoured — closing 1.47
Upset
Total 74.5
69 points played
Under
Set handicap
Artur Zmijewski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Artur Zmijewski −4.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
5.7
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jerzy Michalik is favoured to win, below means Artur Zmijewski.

▲ Jerzy Michalikpre 30% → final 100%
Artur Zmijewski ▼
Biggest swing 73 ptsMichalik recovered from 27%68 points · 4 games