2 Oct · 06:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KW
🇵🇱Karol Wisniewski
ELO 1561
FormLLLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Kapik
KK
🇵🇱Krzysztof Kapik
ELO 1624
FormLWLWW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Kapik
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 57% · 1.75· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+63
H2H80-64
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+63)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (80-64)