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DeuceLab
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02 Oct · 04:25 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MRMateusz Rutkowski
🇵🇱Mateusz Rutkowski
ELO 1644
2-3Final setsKolek won
MKMaciej Kolek
🇵🇱Maciej Kolek
ELO 1639
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Rutkowski at 52%. The actual result was Maciej Kolek 2-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mateusz Rutkowski favoured — closing 1.45
Upset
Total 74.5
93 points played
Over
Set handicap
Mateusz Rutkowski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Mateusz Rutkowski −5.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mateusz Rutkowski is favoured to win, below means Maciej Kolek.

▲ Mateusz Rutkowskipre 56% → final 1%
Maciej Kolek ▼
Biggest swing 55 ptsKolek recovered from 44%72 points · 5 games