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02 Oct · 04:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
PJPatryk Jendrzejewski
🇵🇱Patryk Jendrzejewski
ELO 1656
3-0Final setsJendrzejewski won
JZJakub Zochniak
🇵🇱Jakub Zochniak
ELO 1584
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Jendrzejewski at 57%. The actual result was Patryk Jendrzejewski 3-0 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Patryk Jendrzejewski favoured — closing 1.37
Favourite won
Total 75.5
68 points played
Under
Set handicap
Patryk Jendrzejewski −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Patryk Jendrzejewski −5.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
3.8
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Patryk Jendrzejewski is favoured to win, below means Jakub Zochniak.

▲ Patryk Jendrzejewskipre 61% → final 86%
Jakub Zochniak ▼
Biggest swing 42 ptsJendrzejewski recovered from 44%66 points · 3 games