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02 Oct · 04:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
YFYurij Fomin
🇵🇱Yurij Fomin
ELO 1427
3-0Final setsFomin won
MGMichal Guzik
🇵🇱Michal Guzik
ELO 1675
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Guzik at 77%. The actual result was Yurij Fomin 3-0 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Michal Guzik favoured — closing 1.3
Upset
Total 71.5
53 points played
Under
Set handicap
Michal Guzik −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Michal Guzik −7.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
17.5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Yurij Fomin is favoured to win, below means Michal Guzik.

▲ Yurij Fominpre 24% → final 89%
Michal Guzik ▼
Biggest swing 83 ptsFomin recovered from 14%52 points · 3 games