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02 Oct · 05:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
GWGrzegorz Wichowski
🇵🇱Grzegorz Wichowski
ELO 1601
3-1Final setsWichowski won
JPJerzy Pelka
🇵🇱Jerzy Pelka
ELO 1502
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Wichowski at 61%. The actual result was Grzegorz Wichowski 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Wichowski favoured — closing 1.47
Favourite won
Total 74.5
80 points played
Over
Set handicap
Wichowski −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Wichowski −5.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.15
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Grzegorz Wichowski is favoured to win, below means Jerzy Pelka.

▲ Grzegorz Wichowskipre 65% → final 92%
Jerzy Pelka ▼
Biggest swing 34 pts72 points · 4 games