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02 Oct · 05:35 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
PJPatryk Jendrzejewski
🇵🇱Patryk Jendrzejewski
ELO 1662
3-2Final setsJendrzejewski won
KWKarol Wisniewski
🇵🇱Karol Wisniewski
ELO 1579
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Jendrzejewski at 59%. The actual result was Patryk Jendrzejewski 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Patryk Jendrzejewski favoured — closing 1.7
Favourite won
Total 74.5
94 points played
Over
Set handicap
Patryk Jendrzejewski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Patryk Jendrzejewski −1.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.75
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Patryk Jendrzejewski is favoured to win, below means Karol Wisniewski.

▲ Patryk Jendrzejewskipre 56% → final 79%
Karol Wisniewski ▼
Biggest swing 48 pts72 points · 5 games