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02 Oct · 07:10 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
PKPawel Kurek
🇵🇱Pawel Kurek
ELO 1543
3-1Final setsKurek won
MGMichal Guzik
🇵🇱Michal Guzik
ELO 1647
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Guzik at 63%. The actual result was Pawel Kurek 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Michal Guzik favoured — closing 1.55
Upset
Total 73.5
77 points played
Over
Set handicap
Michal Guzik −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Michal Guzik −4.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
4.8
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Pawel Kurek is favoured to win, below means Michal Guzik.

▲ Pawel Kurekpre 33% → final 98%
Michal Guzik ▼
Biggest swing 72 ptsKurek recovered from 28%72 points · 4 games