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DeuceLab
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02 Oct · 08:05 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
KWKarol Wisniewski
🇵🇱Karol Wisniewski
ELO 1579
3-1Final setsWisniewski won
MKMaciej Kolek
🇵🇱Maciej Kolek
ELO 1617
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kolek at 55%. The actual result was Karol Wisniewski 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Karol Wisniewski favoured — closing 1.7
Favourite won
Total 75.5
76 points played
Over
Set handicap
Karol Wisniewski −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Karol Wisniewski −1.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.8
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Karol Wisniewski is favoured to win, below means Maciej Kolek.

▲ Karol Wisniewskipre 48% → final 95%
Maciej Kolek ▼
Biggest swing 55 ptsWisniewski recovered from 40%72 points · 4 games