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02 Oct · 08:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
PJPatryk Jendrzejewski
🇵🇱Patryk Jendrzejewski
ELO 1662
3-1Final setsJendrzejewski won
KKKrzysztof Kapik
🇵🇱Krzysztof Kapik
ELO 1614
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Jendrzejewski at 54%. The actual result was Patryk Jendrzejewski 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Patryk Jendrzejewski favoured — closing 1.8
Favourite won
Total 75.5
87 points played
Over
Set handicap
Patryk Jendrzejewski −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Patryk Jendrzejewski −0.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.9
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Patryk Jendrzejewski is favoured to win, below means Krzysztof Kapik.

▲ Patryk Jendrzejewskipre 58% → final 79%
Krzysztof Kapik ▼
Biggest swing 51 ptsJendrzejewski recovered from 39%72 points · 4 games