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02 Oct · 08:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MAMariusz Adamus
🇵🇱Mariusz Adamus
ELO 1429
3-2Final setsAdamus won
MGMichal Guzik
🇵🇱Michal Guzik
ELO 1647
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Guzik at 74%. The actual result was Mariusz Adamus 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Michal Guzik favoured — closing 1.32
Upset
Total 72.5
91 points played
Over
Set handicap
Michal Guzik −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Michal Guzik −7.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
6.75
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mariusz Adamus is favoured to win, below means Michal Guzik.

▲ Mariusz Adamuspre 21% → final 0%
Michal Guzik ▼
Biggest swing 25 pts72 points · 4 games