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02 Oct · 10:35 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
JPJacek Przewlocki
🇵🇱Jacek Przewlocki
ELO 1322
3-2Final setsPrzewlocki won
BCBartosz Czerwinski
🇵🇱Bartosz Czerwinski
ELO 1545
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Czerwinski at 75%. The actual result was Jacek Przewlocki 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Czerwinski favoured — closing 1.27
Upset
Total 73.5
108 points played
Over
Set handicap
Czerwinski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Czerwinski −7.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
6.75
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jacek Przewlocki is favoured to win, below means Bartosz Czerwinski.

▲ Jacek Przewlockipre 26% → final 71%
Bartosz Czerwinski ▼
Biggest swing 64 ptsPrzewlocki recovered from 18%72 points · 5 games