2 Oct · 15:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
GW
🇵🇱Grzegorz Wichowski
ELO 1600
FormLWLWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Wichowski
JP
🇵🇱Jerzy Pelka
ELO 1518
FormWWWWW
59%
41%
🌟Pelka covers set handicap as underdog 76% (17)
Fair odds · Wichowski
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 58% · 1.72· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~77 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+82
H2H37-23
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+82)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (37-23)