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02 Oct · 13:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
KKKarol Kufel
🇵🇱Karol Kufel
ELO 1533
3-0Final setsKufel won
BCBartosz Czerwinski
🇵🇱Bartosz Czerwinski
ELO 1545
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Czerwinski at 55%. The actual result was Karol Kufel 3-0 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Bartosz Czerwinski favoured — closing 1.5
Upset
Total 75.5
61 points played
Under
Set handicap
Bartosz Czerwinski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Bartosz Czerwinski −4.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
10
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Karol Kufel is favoured to win, below means Bartosz Czerwinski.

▲ Karol Kufelpre 41% → final 94%
Bartosz Czerwinski ▼
Biggest swing 58 ptsKufel recovered from 37%60 points · 3 games