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02 Oct · 15:10 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
CPCezary Pawlik
🇵🇱Cezary Pawlik
ELO 1641
1-3Final setsKocik won
TKTomasz Kocik
🇵🇱Tomasz Kocik
ELO 1713
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kocik at 59%. The actual result was Tomasz Kocik 1-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Tomasz Kocik favoured — closing 1.52
Favourite won
Total 73.5
74 points played
Over
Set handicap
Tomasz Kocik −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Tomasz Kocik −4.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Cezary Pawlik is favoured to win, below means Tomasz Kocik.

▲ Cezary Pawlikpre 44% → final 1%
Tomasz Kocik ▼
Biggest swing 50 pts72 points · 4 games