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02 Oct · 16:25 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
CPCezary Pawlik
🇵🇱Cezary Pawlik
ELO 1641
3-2Final setsPawlik won
JOJacek Oracz
🇵🇱Jacek Oracz
ELO 1695
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Oracz at 57%. The actual result was Cezary Pawlik 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jacek Oracz favoured — closing 1.52
Upset
Total 79.5
94 points played
Over
Set handicap
Jacek Oracz −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Jacek Oracz −3.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.85
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Cezary Pawlik is favoured to win, below means Jacek Oracz.

▲ Cezary Pawlikpre 46% → final 75%
Jacek Oracz ▼
Biggest swing 69 ptsPawlik recovered from 30%72 points · 5 games