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02 Oct · 18:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
CPCezary Pawlik
🇵🇱Cezary Pawlik
ELO 1641
3-1Final setsPawlik won
MZMarcin Zielinski
🇵🇱Marcin Zielinski
ELO 1557
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Pawlik at 57%. The actual result was Cezary Pawlik 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Cezary Pawlik favoured — closing 1.8
Favourite won
Total 75.5
84 points played
Over
Set handicap
Cezary Pawlik −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Cezary Pawlik −0.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
4.05
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Cezary Pawlik is favoured to win, below means Marcin Zielinski.

▲ Cezary Pawlikpre 54% → final 100%
Marcin Zielinski ▼
Biggest swing 46 pts72 points · 4 games