2 Oct · 22:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MT
🇵🇱Mateusz Trela
ELO 1382
FormLLLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Trela
KS
🇵🇱Karol Sulkowski
ELO 1338
FormLWLWL
55%
45%
Fair odds · Trela
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 58% · 1.74· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~79 pts
3-1
22%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+44
H2H13-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+44)