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← TT Elite Series predictions
02 Oct · 22:15 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MTMateusz Trela
🇵🇱Mateusz Trela
ELO 1385
3-2Final setsTrela won
DPDawid Poloszczanski
🇵🇱Dawid Poloszczanski
ELO 1348
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Trela at 56%. The actual result was Mateusz Trela 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Dawid Poloszczanski favoured — closing 1.7
Upset
Total 76.5
95 points played
Over
Set handicap
Dawid Poloszczanski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Dawid Poloszczanski −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.65
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mateusz Trela is favoured to win, below means Dawid Poloszczanski.

▲ Mateusz Trelapre 60% → final 100%
Dawid Poloszczanski ▼
Biggest swing 98 ptsTrela recovered from 2%72 points · 5 games