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02 Oct · 22:50 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
CPCezary Pawlik
🇵🇱Cezary Pawlik
ELO 1645
3-0Final setsPawlik won
TKTomasz Kocik
🇵🇱Tomasz Kocik
ELO 1692
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kocik at 58%. The actual result was Cezary Pawlik 3-0 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Tomasz Kocik favoured — closing 1.55
Upset
Total 73.5
64 points played
Under
Set handicap
Tomasz Kocik −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Tomasz Kocik −4.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
10
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Cezary Pawlik is favoured to win, below means Tomasz Kocik.

▲ Cezary Pawlikpre 45% → final 1%
Tomasz Kocik ▼
Biggest swing 51 pts72 points · 4 games