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02 Oct · 23:10 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MZMarcin Zielinski
🇵🇱Marcin Zielinski
ELO 1588
3-1Final setsZielinski won
KMKrzysztof Malcher
🇵🇱Krzysztof Malcher
ELO 1375
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Zielinski at 69%. The actual result was Marcin Zielinski 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Zielinski favoured — closing 1.3
Favourite won
Total 73.5
77 points played
Over
Set handicap
Zielinski −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Zielinski −7.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
2.85
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Marcin Zielinski is favoured to win, below means Krzysztof Malcher.

▲ Marcin Zielinskipre 67% → final 97%
Krzysztof Malcher ▼
Biggest swing 40 pts52 points · 3 games