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03 Oct · 00:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MWMarcin Wozniczka
🇵🇱Marcin Wozniczka
ELO 1464
0-3Final setsZielinski won
MZMarcin Zielinski
🇵🇱Marcin Zielinski
ELO 1594
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Zielinski at 63%. The actual result was Marcin Zielinski 0-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Marcin Zielinski favoured — closing 1.45
Favourite won
Total 73.5
59 points played
Under
Set handicap
Marcin Zielinski −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Marcin Zielinski −5.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Marcin Wozniczka is favoured to win, below means Marcin Zielinski.

▲ Marcin Wozniczkapre 39% → final 3%
Marcin Zielinski ▼
Biggest swing 41 pts58 points · 3 games