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03 Oct · 02:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
JOJacek Oracz
🇵🇱Jacek Oracz
ELO 1676
1-3Final setsPawlik won
CPCezary Pawlik
🇵🇱Cezary Pawlik
ELO 1641
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Oracz at 52%. The actual result was Cezary Pawlik 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jacek Oracz favoured — closing 1.55
Upset
Total 78.5
74 points played
Under
Set handicap
Jacek Oracz −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Jacek Oracz −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jacek Oracz is favoured to win, below means Cezary Pawlik.

▲ Jacek Oraczpre 56% → final 11%
Cezary Pawlik ▼
Biggest swing 66 ptsPawlik recovered from 29%72 points · 4 games