3 Oct · 04:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MW
🇵🇱Marcin Wozniczka
ELO 1464
FormWLLLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Wozniczka
KM
🇵🇱Krzysztof Malcher
ELO 1383
FormLLLWL
59%
41%
Fair odds · Wozniczka
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 59% · 1.68· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~73 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+81
H2H3-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+81)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-0)