3 Oct · 05:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DF
🇵🇱Damian Fira
ELO 1454
FormLWLWW
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Fira
JM
🇵🇱Jakub Michalski
ELO 1289
FormWWLLL
67%
33%
Fair odds · Fira
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 61% · 1.63· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~74 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+165
H2H56-36
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+165)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (56-36)