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03 Oct · 04:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
TPTadeusz Piotrowski
🇵🇱Tadeusz Piotrowski
ELO 1397
3-1Final setsPiotrowski won
DWDariusz Wrobel
🇵🇱Dariusz Wrobel
ELO 1344
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Piotrowski at 53%. The actual result was Tadeusz Piotrowski 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Tadeusz Piotrowski favoured — closing 1.65
Favourite won
Set handicap
Tadeusz Piotrowski −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Tadeusz Piotrowski −2.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.8
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Tadeusz Piotrowski is favoured to win, below means Dariusz Wrobel.

▲ Tadeusz Piotrowskipre 57% → final 90%
Dariusz Wrobel ▼
Biggest swing 84 ptsPiotrowski recovered from 12%72 points · 4 games