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03 Oct · 04:50 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
KMKacper Makowski
🇵🇱Kacper Makowski
ELO 1326
3-0Final setsMakowski won
MSMaciej Sinicki
🇵🇱Maciej Sinicki
ELO 1390
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Sinicki at 58%. The actual result was Kacper Makowski 3-0 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Maciej Sinicki favoured — closing 1.65
Upset
Total 74.5
59 points played
Under
Set handicap
Maciej Sinicki −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Maciej Sinicki −2.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
8.5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Kacper Makowski is favoured to win, below means Maciej Sinicki.

▲ Kacper Makowskipre 38% → final 94%
Maciej Sinicki ▼
Biggest swing 56 ptsMakowski recovered from 38%58 points · 3 games