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03 Oct · 05:15 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MLMikolaj Lukaszewski
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1316
3-2Final setsLukaszewski won
PKPiotr Krukar
🇵🇱Piotr Krukar
ELO 1368
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Krukar at 57%. The actual result was Mikolaj Lukaszewski 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Piotr Krukar favoured — closing 1.65
Upset
Total 74.5
92 points played
Over
Set handicap
Piotr Krukar −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Piotr Krukar −2.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5.4
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mikolaj Lukaszewski is favoured to win, below means Piotr Krukar.

▲ Mikolaj Lukaszewskipre 46% → final 95%
Piotr Krukar ▼
Biggest swing 61 ptsLukaszewski recovered from 36%72 points · 5 games