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03 Oct · 05:40 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
WSWaclaw Suchecki
🇵🇱Waclaw Suchecki
ELO 1277
1-3Final setsPoloszczanski won
DPDawid Poloszczanski
🇵🇱Dawid Poloszczanski
ELO 1343
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Poloszczanski at 57%. The actual result was Dawid Poloszczanski 1-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Dawid Poloszczanski favoured — closing 1.7
Favourite won
Total 75.5
81 points played
Over
Set handicap
Dawid Poloszczanski −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Dawid Poloszczanski −1.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Waclaw Suchecki is favoured to win, below means Dawid Poloszczanski.

▲ Waclaw Sucheckipre 39% → final 4%
Dawid Poloszczanski ▼
Biggest swing 50 pts72 points · 4 games