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03 Oct · 06:45 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
PJPatryk Jedrzejak
🇵🇱Patryk Jedrzejak
ELO 1610
3-1Final setsJedrzejak won
RIRafal Idaczyk
🇵🇱Rafal Idaczyk
ELO 1491
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Jedrzejak at 62%. The actual result was Patryk Jedrzejak 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Patryk Jedrzejak favoured — closing 1.3
Favourite won
Total 73.5
85 points played
Over
Set handicap
Patryk Jedrzejak −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Patryk Jedrzejak −7.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
2.85
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Patryk Jedrzejak is favoured to win, below means Rafal Idaczyk.

▲ Patryk Jedrzejakpre 66% → final 100%
Rafal Idaczyk ▼
Biggest swing 54 pts72 points · 4 games