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← TT Elite Series predictions
03 Oct · 06:45 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MKMariusz Koczyba
🇵🇱Mariusz Koczyba
ELO 1504
1-3Final setsLojtek won
TLTomasz Lojtek
🇵🇱Tomasz Lojtek
ELO 1374
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Koczyba at 66%. The actual result was Tomasz Lojtek 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mariusz Koczyba favoured — closing 1.65
Upset
Total 74.5
74 points played
Under
Set handicap
Mariusz Koczyba −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Mariusz Koczyba −2.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mariusz Koczyba is favoured to win, below means Tomasz Lojtek.

▲ Mariusz Koczybapre 64% → final 2%
Tomasz Lojtek ▼
Biggest swing 81 ptsLojtek recovered from 17%72 points · 4 games