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← TT Elite Series predictions
03 Oct · 06:50 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
TPTadeusz Piotrowski
🇵🇱Tadeusz Piotrowski
ELO 1404
3-1Final setsPiotrowski won
PMPiotr Maruszak
🇵🇱Piotr Maruszak
ELO 1390
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Piotrowski at 50%. The actual result was Tadeusz Piotrowski 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Piotr Maruszak favoured — closing 1.65
Upset
Total 73.5
72 points played
Under
Set handicap
Piotr Maruszak −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Piotr Maruszak −2.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
4.3
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Tadeusz Piotrowski is favoured to win, below means Piotr Maruszak.

▲ Tadeusz Piotrowskipre 46% → final 95%
Piotr Maruszak ▼
Biggest swing 70 ptsPiotrowski recovered from 30%71 points · 4 games