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03 Oct · 07:15 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MSMaciej Sinicki
🇵🇱Maciej Sinicki
ELO 1386
3-2Final setsSinicki won
AMAdrian Myszewski
🇵🇱Adrian Myszewski
ELO 1447
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Myszewski at 57%. The actual result was Maciej Sinicki 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Adrian Myszewski favoured — closing 1.57
Upset
Total 75.5
93 points played
Over
Set handicap
Adrian Myszewski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Adrian Myszewski −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5.3
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Maciej Sinicki is favoured to win, below means Adrian Myszewski.

▲ Maciej Sinickipre 46% → final 75%
Adrian Myszewski ▼
Biggest swing 59 ptsSinicki recovered from 36%72 points · 5 games