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03 Oct · 07:20 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
JRJaroslaw Rolak
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Rolak
ELO 1328
3-1Final setsRolak won
PKPiotr Krukar
🇵🇱Piotr Krukar
ELO 1359
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Krukar at 55%. The actual result was Jaroslaw Rolak 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Piotr Krukar favoured — closing 1.65
Upset
Total 74.5
77 points played
Over
Set handicap
Piotr Krukar −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Piotr Krukar −2.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
4.4
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jaroslaw Rolak is favoured to win, below means Piotr Krukar.

▲ Jaroslaw Rolakpre 41% → final 99%
Piotr Krukar ▼
Biggest swing 68 ptsRolak recovered from 31%72 points · 4 games