3 Oct · 09:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
WP
🇵🇱Wojciech Pytlas
ELO 1474
FormLWWLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Pytlas
PM
🇵🇱Patryk Mecik
ELO 1387
FormLLWLL
59%
41%
Fair odds · Pytlas
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 61% · 1.63· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~77 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+87
H2H5-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+87)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-4)