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03 Oct · 08:20 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
PJPatryk Jedrzejak
🇵🇱Patryk Jedrzejak
ELO 1614
3-1Final setsJedrzejak won
DMDaniel Morawiec
🇵🇱Daniel Morawiec
ELO 1489
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Jedrzejak at 63%. The actual result was Patryk Jedrzejak 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Patryk Jedrzejak favoured — closing 1.37
Favourite won
Total 74.5
92 points played
Over
Set handicap
Patryk Jedrzejak −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Patryk Jedrzejak −6.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.05
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Patryk Jedrzejak is favoured to win, below means Daniel Morawiec.

▲ Patryk Jedrzejakpre 61% → final 92%
Daniel Morawiec ▼
Biggest swing 63 ptsJedrzejak recovered from 35%72 points · 4 games