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03 Oct · 09:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MZMariusz Zwolinski
🇵🇱Mariusz Zwolinski
ELO 1348
3-2Final setsZwolinski won
PKPiotr Krukar
🇵🇱Piotr Krukar
ELO 1347
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Krukar at 52%. The actual result was Mariusz Zwolinski 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mariusz Zwolinski favoured — closing 1.8
Favourite won
Total 78.5
81 points played
Over
Set handicap
Mariusz Zwolinski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Mariusz Zwolinski −0.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.7
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mariusz Zwolinski is favoured to win, below means Piotr Krukar.

▲ Mariusz Zwolinskipre 51% → final 7%
Piotr Krukar ▼
Biggest swing 81 ptsKrukar recovered from 18%72 points · 4 games