3 Oct · 11:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
ML
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1312
FormLWWLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Sinicki
MS
🇵🇱Maciej Sinicki
ELO 1379
FormLWLLL
43%
57%
🌟Lukaszewski covers set handicap as underdog 72% (32)
Fair odds · Sinicki
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 55% · 1.81· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~75 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+67
H2H15-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+67)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-6)