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03 Oct · 09:05 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
RIRafal Idaczyk
🇵🇱Rafal Idaczyk
ELO 1455
3-2Final setsIdaczyk won
DMDaniel Morawiec
🇵🇱Daniel Morawiec
ELO 1507
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Morawiec at 59%. The actual result was Rafal Idaczyk 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Morawiec favoured — closing 1.55
Upset
Total 76.5
90 points played
Over
Set handicap
Morawiec −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Morawiec −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Rafal Idaczyk is favoured to win, below means Daniel Morawiec.

▲ Rafal Idaczykpre 44% → final 97%
Daniel Morawiec ▼
Biggest swing 64 ptsIdaczyk recovered from 35%72 points · 5 games