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03 Oct · 10:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MSMaciej Sinicki
🇵🇱Maciej Sinicki
ELO 1368
3-2Final setsSinicki won
MSMichal Skorski
🇵🇱Michal Skorski
ELO 1374
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Skorski at 50%. The actual result was Maciej Sinicki 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Sinicki favoured — closing 1.7
Favourite won
Total 76.5
98 points played
Over
Set handicap
Sinicki −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Sinicki −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.85
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Maciej Sinicki is favoured to win, below means Michal Skorski.

▲ Maciej Sinickipre 46% → final 77%
Michal Skorski ▼
Biggest swing 68 ptsSinicki recovered from 30%72 points · 5 games