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03 Oct · 11:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
WSWaclaw Suchecki
🇵🇱Waclaw Suchecki
ELO 1279
3-1Final setsSuchecki won
AEAdrian Eliasz
🇵🇱Adrian Eliasz
ELO 1345
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Eliasz at 57%. The actual result was Waclaw Suchecki 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Eliasz favoured — closing 1.4
Upset
Total 73.5
77 points played
Over
Set handicap
Eliasz −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Eliasz −6.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
6
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Waclaw Suchecki is favoured to win, below means Adrian Eliasz.

▲ Waclaw Sucheckipre 39% → final 99%
Adrian Eliasz ▼
Biggest swing 77 ptsSuchecki recovered from 22%72 points · 4 games